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Red178
1150.6
30373.8
19354.2
Blue112
114336.6
7539.4
272922.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16078050100200250178112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#6
73.81.3
71.272.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
red by 34.4
75
#21
39.40.9
41.242.1
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
193
#4
54.21.3
34.135.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 17.7
1143
#31
36.60.9
34.135.0
Auto1.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
Third
11
#11
50.61.3
47.448.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.9
End0.0
red by 28.2
2729
#50
22.40.9
18.219.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0