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Red151
192340.2
363728.9
108945.4
Blue183
125733.6
30373.8
437326.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85144050100200250300151183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#10
45.42.7
37.440.1
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
blue by 28.4
303
#6
73.82.2
74.576.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop74.3
End0.0
Second
1923
#18
40.22.7
36.439.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 6.6
1257
#23
33.62.2
36.638.7
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
3637
#22
28.92.7
23.826.5
Auto0.9
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
4373
#13
26.42.2
28.931.0
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0