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Red115
540436.7
272922.4
70832.2
Blue129
171230.7
114336.6
260764.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75131050100150200115129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#29
36.71.4
33.434.8
Auto1.9
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 27.5
64.20.1
56.356.4
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
Second
708
#38
32.21.4
30.732.1
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 4.4
1143
#31
36.60.1
36.536.6
Auto1.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
Third
2729
#50
22.41.4
22.323.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 8.3
1712
#44
30.70.1
34.234.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0