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Red118
32127.7
22231.9
140361.6
Blue90
181135.5
331434.6
192340.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321085015020011890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
65.564.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 21.4
1923
#18
40.21.3
39.137.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
222
#35
31.90.7
33.532.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
1811
#39
35.51.3
36.435.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Third
321
#46
27.70.7
33.733.0
Auto0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3314
#37
34.61.3
40.038.7
Auto0.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0