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Red64
70832.2
465332.6
437326.4
Blue142
36548.8
22574.6
363728.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7916005010020025030064142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#20
32.61.6
31.529.9
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 42.0
225
#7
74.60.5
74.574.0
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
708
#38
32.21.6
32.130.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 16.6
365
#12
48.80.5
49.148.6
Auto2.4
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Third
4373
#13
26.41.6
31.429.9
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3637
#22
28.90.5
29.028.5
Auto0.9
Teleop28.0
End0.0