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Red179
260764.2
542019.2
192340.2
Blue129
114336.6
86937.5
465332.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11395406080140160180179129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.23.2
59.963.1
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
red by 26.7
869
#36
37.51.4
36.137.5
Auto0.6
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
1923
#18
40.23.2
38.741.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 3.6
1143
#31
36.61.4
35.236.6
Auto1.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
Third
5420
#53
19.23.2
15.919.2
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 13.5
4653
#20
32.61.4
29.931.3
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0