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Red166
140361.6
260764.2
397437.0
Blue190
121860.8
19354.2
21945.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157156140150160170180190166190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.1
64.264.2
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
60.80.6
61.261.7
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
Second
61.60.1
61.661.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
193
#4
54.20.6
54.655.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Third
3974
#32
37.00.1
37.037.1
Auto1.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 8.5
219
#25
45.60.6
45.946.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0