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Red62
417111.3
213517.0
281320.5
Blue78
413523.2
348210.2
58178.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474002060806278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#19
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 2.7
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 6.8
3482
#10
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
4171
#12
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto0.8
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 2.8
5817
#16
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0