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Red165
971102.6
11414.5
501216.0
Blue123
349540.2
60427.8
497314.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12879050100150200165123

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
102.60.0
102.6102.6
Auto9.6
Teleop93.0
End0.0
red by 62.4
3495
#25
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
5012
#13
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 11.8
604
#21
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
114
#11
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 0.4
4973
#20
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0