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Red63
11414.5
58178.5
60427.8
Blue144
213517.0
51049.8
132321.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49472040608010012014063144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#21
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 6.2
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto0.8
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
114
#11
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
5817
#16
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5104
#22
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End0.0