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Red49
473516.4
552614.9
291420.5
Blue62
393319.8
570513.2
458414.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060801001204962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.5
15.015.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 0.7
19.82.2
16.318.5
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
16.40.5
14.415.0
Auto0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
4584
#22
14.32.2
10.312.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5526
#11
14.90.5
13.213.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 1.7
5705
#21
13.22.2
8.911.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0