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Red34
497725.5
463511.6
379419.4
Blue58
347216.0
352217.9
460312.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801003458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.8
17.817.0
Auto0.6
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 7.7
17.91.7
13.915.5
Auto0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
19.40.8
14.814.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 3.4
3472
#23
16.01.7
13.214.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4635
#26
11.60.8
10.810.0
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4603
#28
12.51.7
11.012.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0