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Red54
47319.7
57167.8
347831.9
Blue62
401010.9
463511.6
440016.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422702060801001205462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.0
22.023.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 15.9
4400
#12
16.02.9
12.014.9
Auto0.3
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
4731
#32
9.71.1
8.59.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4635
#26
11.62.9
10.012.9
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
5716
#35
7.81.1
10.711.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4010
#24
10.93.1
8.711.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0