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Red22
228321.7
352715.3
43719.6
Blue34
47319.7
401010.9
552614.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423302060801001202234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#10
21.71.0
18.417.3
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 6.8
5526
#11
14.90.1
14.414.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
3527
#19
15.31.0
14.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 4.5
4010
#24
10.90.1
10.610.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
4371
#30
9.61.0
9.88.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4731
#32
9.70.1
11.010.8
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0