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Red40
463511.6
48427.6
472315.8
Blue96
352613.5
393319.8
541527.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060801001201404096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4723
#14
15.80.7
14.915.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 11.2
27.03.4
17.120.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
4635
#26
11.60.7
12.913.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 8.2
19.83.4
18.321.8
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
4842
#37
7.60.7
9.09.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3526
#17
13.53.4
12.916.4
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0