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Red36
440320.5
47319.7
435514.1
Blue20
57167.8
463511.6
291420.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801003620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#18
20.50.5
18.018.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
20.51.4
19.918.5
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
4355
#20
14.10.5
13.313.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
4635
#26
11.61.4
12.811.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
4731
#32
9.70.5
9.29.7
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
5716
#35
7.81.4
9.88.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0