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Red71
440320.5
291420.5
352715.3
Blue90
228321.7
497725.5
569614.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52523040607080907190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
19.820.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
25.50.7
22.823.4
Auto0.6
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
4403
#18
20.50.3
19.820.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2283
#10
21.70.6
19.219.8
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
3527
#19
15.30.3
14.715.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
5696
#27
14.60.7
11.812.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0