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Red65
458414.3
575015.0
347216.0
Blue86
228321.7
497725.5
569614.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801001201406586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#23
16.00.4
15.616.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 9.5
25.50.7
23.424.1
Auto0.6
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
5750
#13
15.00.4
14.615.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 6.7
2283
#10
21.70.6
19.820.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4584
#22
14.30.4
13.914.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5696
#27
14.60.7
12.513.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0