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Red84
440320.5
291420.5
352715.3
Blue58
347831.9
541527.0
57167.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516701001508458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.8
20.220.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 11.4
31.90.2
32.131.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
4403
#18
20.50.8
20.120.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 6.6
27.00.2
27.227.0
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
3527
#19
15.30.8
15.015.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 7.5
5716
#35
7.80.2
8.07.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0