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Qual 172015 North Carolina Regional
Red20
48297.6
456115.7
33316.9
Blue21
516021.8
47956.4
38456.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3620060801002021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#34
15.70.9
15.9→15.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 6.1
5160
#7
21.80.2
9.8→9.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
4829
#51
7.61.2
9.8→8.6
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
3845
#48
6.70.2
5.4→5.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Third
3331
#38
6.91.2
8.9→7.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
4795
#49
6.40.2
8.1→7.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0