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Red34
453410.8
57623.9
407321.4
Blue13
28908.1
554310.0
57276.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622060801003413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
18.118.1
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 11.4
5543
#24
10.01.0
9.18.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Second
4534
#25
10.80.1
8.68.5
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 2.7
2890
#52
8.11.0
10.99.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
Third
5762
#54
3.90.1
8.28.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5727
#47
6.31.0
5.24.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0