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Red32
153325.4
47674.9
4359.9
Blue20
554413.4
453410.8
373710.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060801003220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
25.40.4
27.727.3
Auto1.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 12.0
5544
#14
13.41.1
11.610.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
435
#41
9.90.4
9.18.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4534
#25
10.81.1
8.57.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
4767
#43
4.90.6
2.41.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3737
#27
10.31.1
12.911.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0