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Red4
36803.9
373710.3
554310.0
Blue51
345918.7
205922.2
350622.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1961050100150200451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#27
10.31.9
12.210.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 12.2
22.50.3
18.718.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
5543
#24
10.01.9
9.57.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 12.2
22.20.3
18.518.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
3680
#53
3.91.9
4.62.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 14.8
3459
#17
18.70.3
19.319.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0