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Red28
38456.7
453313.9
554413.4
Blue42
28908.1
567911.8
345918.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27360501001502002842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.90.1
11.411.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
3459
#17
18.70.3
19.119.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
5544
#14
13.40.1
10.710.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
5679
#22
11.80.4
10.410.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
3845
#48
6.70.1
7.77.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2890
#52
8.10.4
6.87.3
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0