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Red24
382216.6
551815.2
453410.8
Blue26
58716.2
482812.7
429013.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353901001502002503002426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#12
16.61.0
12.711.7
Auto0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 0.4
587
#16
16.20.7
12.111.5
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
5518
#11
15.21.0
14.113.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
4290
#15
13.51.1
14.013.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
4534
#25
10.81.0
9.78.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4828
#23
12.71.1
13.412.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0