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Red18
264115.3
53233.9
499610.6
Blue60
252813.7
516021.8
407321.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2656040801001201401601860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#26
15.30.7
16.015.3
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 6.5
21.80.4
20.020.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
4996
#35
10.60.9
11.110.2
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 10.8
21.40.3
20.020.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
5323
#55
3.90.9
4.83.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 9.8
2528
#18
13.70.4
13.213.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0