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Red40
516021.8
407321.4
554413.4
Blue94
58716.2
397124.6
264016.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574702040801001204094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.4
22.121.7
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
24.60.9
22.022.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 5.1
2640
#19
16.30.7
14.214.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
5544
#14
13.40.4
13.713.3
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
587
#16
16.20.7
14.014.8
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0