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Red113
205922.2
122532.9
90017.6
Blue60
516021.8
407321.4
554413.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705202040608010012014016011360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.7
31.832.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 11.1
21.80.1
21.721.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
22.20.7
21.221.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
21.40.1
21.421.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
900
#30
17.60.7
16.517.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 4.2
5544
#14
13.40.1
13.313.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0