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Red187
110040.2
17558.8
23650.8
Blue176
23057.2
287753.1
55841.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331480100200300400500187176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.80.8
55.556.3
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
230
#23
57.20.4
56.857.2
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
Second
236
#22
50.80.8
47.548.3
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
53.10.4
52.753.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0
Third
1100
#44
40.20.8
36.937.7
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
558
#29
41.50.4
41.141.5
Auto0.7
Teleop40.8
End0.0