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Red153
88541.9
5855.3
8850.5
Blue137
66326.9
216848.6
206438.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1519750200153137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#30
55.30.2
55.055.3
Auto0.8
Teleop54.5
End0.0
red by 6.7
2168
#26
48.61.4
47.248.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
88
#11
50.50.2
51.351.6
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 12.5
2064
#28
38.01.4
36.638.0
Auto1.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
885
#40
41.90.2
41.741.9
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 15.0
663
#55
26.91.4
25.526.9
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0