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Red100
490531.4
24651.3
110040.2
Blue135
99954.3
46730.7
13832.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11097406080120140160180100135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#24
51.30.6
46.345.8
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
999
#10
54.31.9
41.042.9
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Second
1100
#44
40.20.6
32.031.4
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 7.6
138
#60
32.61.9
37.639.5
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
4905
#59
31.40.6
33.432.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
467
#53
30.71.9
24.026.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0