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Red136
287753.1
16641.0
393040.3
Blue139
12651.7
573536.9
21329.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259650150200136139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.6
43.343.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
126
#16
51.71.8
44.145.8
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Second
166
#47
41.00.6
37.738.2
Auto1.6
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
5735
#36
36.91.8
31.132.9
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
3930
#49
40.30.6
43.844.3
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 10.9
213
#45
29.41.8
28.530.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0