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Red83
287635.3
17645.4
46730.7
Blue118
9528.8
15545.7
107334.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9384406010012014083118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#42
45.40.0
35.935.9
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0
blue by 0.4
155
#15
45.71.5
36.237.7
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
2876
#33
35.30.0
33.033.0
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
1073
#52
34.61.5
28.229.7
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
467
#53
30.70.0
26.426.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 1.9
95
#51
28.81.5
24.025.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0