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Red136
12651.7
109936.9
476131.7
Blue134
110040.2
206438.0
12552.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103117050150200250300350136134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#16
51.71.4
45.847.2
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
blue by 0.4
125
#25
52.10.8
53.053.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
Second
1099
#48
36.91.4
33.534.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 3.4
1100
#44
40.20.8
30.331.1
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
4761
#57
31.71.4
29.631.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 6.2
2064
#28
38.00.8
35.536.2
Auto1.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0