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Red131
107334.6
23057.2
17828.6
Blue130
31941.6
23736.0
573536.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128750100150131130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#23
57.21.0
61.062.0
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 15.6
319
#17
41.61.8
31.132.9
Auto8.7
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
1073
#52
34.61.0
29.730.7
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5735
#36
36.91.8
32.934.7
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
178
#56
28.61.0
21.222.1
Auto2.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 7.3
237
#38
36.01.8
29.931.7
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0