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Red166
512250.8
283653.4
46730.7
Blue140
476131.7
21329.4
404848.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219250150200166140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.42.2
46.048.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
red by 5.3
4048
#27
48.02.0
37.539.5
Auto1.4
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
5122
#20
50.82.2
47.749.9
Auto0.4
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 19.1
4761
#57
31.72.0
31.033.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Third
467
#53
30.72.2
27.629.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 1.3
213
#45
29.42.0
31.533.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0