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Red135
264827.4
6148.6
490938.9
Blue114
110040.2
234259.4
19581.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109173050150200250300135114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#18
48.60.6
42.643.2
Auto1.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
blue by 32.7
195
#2
81.32.2
80.177.9
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
Second
4909
#41
38.90.6
44.044.6
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0
blue by 20.5
2342
#12
59.42.2
58.156.0
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
2648
#58
27.40.6
36.336.9
Auto0.8
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 12.8
1100
#44
40.22.2
31.128.9
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0