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Red161
216848.6
17828.6
17342.1
Blue127
393040.3
99954.3
109936.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94120050150200250161127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#26
48.63.0
39.642.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
blue by 5.7
999
#10
54.30.3
44.444.7
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Second
173
#35
42.13.0
39.642.6
Auto1.7
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
3930
#49
40.30.3
41.341.6
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Third
178
#56
28.63.0
22.125.1
Auto2.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1099
#48
36.90.3
34.835.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0