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Red181
17247.5
17645.4
573536.9
Blue189
24651.3
23650.8
8850.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101148050200250181189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#19
47.53.4
41.645.0
Auto1.5
Teleop46.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
246
#24
51.32.2
52.654.8
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
176
#42
45.43.4
36.039.4
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0
blue by 5.5
236
#22
50.82.2
43.846.0
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Third
5735
#36
36.93.4
34.738.1
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 13.6
88
#11
50.52.2
49.451.6
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0