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Red99
17342.1
573536.9
568742.0
Blue118
217057.4
264827.4
405548.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112705010015020025099118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#35
42.10.4
33.433.8
Auto1.7
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 15.3
57.40.3
50.950.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Second
5687
#46
42.00.4
31.331.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0
blue by 6.6
4055
#32
48.60.3
43.443.1
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Third
5735
#36
36.90.4
26.526.9
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 9.5
2648
#58
27.40.3
30.229.8
Auto0.8
Teleop26.6
End0.0