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Red127
12552.1
404848.0
66326.9
Blue126
99954.3
13349.7
17828.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108121050150200250300350127126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#25
52.10.7
52.453.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
blue by 2.2
999
#10
54.30.4
48.448.9
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Second
4048
#27
48.00.7
39.139.8
Auto1.4
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
133
#39
49.70.4
49.550.0
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Third
663
#55
26.90.7
22.122.8
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
178
#56
28.60.4
25.225.7
Auto2.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0