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Red146
23057.2
346433.9
31941.6
Blue149
393040.3
8850.5
17342.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261226080100140160180200146149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#23
57.20.9
52.753.6
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 6.8
88
#11
50.51.0
49.150.1
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
319
#17
41.60.9
39.340.2
Auto8.7
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
173
#35
42.11.0
41.242.1
Auto1.7
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
3464
#31
33.90.9
35.136.0
Auto1.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 6.3
3930
#49
40.31.0
39.440.3
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0