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Red136
490938.9
16641.0
287635.3
Blue141
216848.6
23736.0
476131.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051036080120140160136141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#47
41.01.5
36.237.6
Auto1.6
Teleop39.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
2168
#26
48.61.6
43.244.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
4909
#41
38.91.5
40.041.4
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
237
#38
36.01.6
35.737.3
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Third
2876
#33
35.31.5
30.531.9
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 3.6
4761
#57
31.71.6
30.331.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0