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Red249
167157.7
118109.2
1678103.4
Blue152
19586.2
175672.3
452257.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274203100150250300350249152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
109.20.4
110.1109.7
Auto12.8
Teleop96.4
End0.0
red by 23.1
195
#3
86.21.2
88.287.1
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
103.40.4
104.3103.9
Auto12.6
Teleop90.8
End0.0
red by 31.1
72.31.2
74.473.2
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Third
1671
#25
57.70.4
58.658.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop58.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
4522
#17
57.11.2
59.258.0
Auto0.5
Teleop56.6
End0.0