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Red110
17555.3
552618.8
357445.2
Blue88
432222.8
418842.4
457528.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137105010015020011088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#24
55.30.0
58.858.8
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
red by 12.9
4188
#18
42.40.4
31.031.4
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
3574
#28
45.20.0
36.736.7
Auto0.3
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 17.1
4575
#60
28.00.4
29.329.6
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
5526
#62
18.80.0
14.914.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4322
#63
22.80.4
20.020.4
Auto0.3
Teleop22.5
End0.0