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Qual 1032015 Newton Division
Red136
357445.2
146634.4
301537.2
Blue158
175672.3
2540.7
552921.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102140050200250300136158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#28
45.21.2
42.8→44.0
Auto0.3
Teleop44.9
End0.0
blue by 27.1
1756
#9
72.31.0
75.0→76.0
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Second
3015
#51
37.21.2
35.7→36.9
Auto0.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 3.5
25
#26
40.71.0
41.8→42.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
1466
#36
34.41.2
33.3→34.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 12.9
5529
#42
21.51.0
22.1→23.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0