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Red170
303949.1
571034.4
17555.3
Blue144
191866.5
10019.9
484213.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14774050100200250170144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#24
55.31.5
58.560.0
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
blue by 11.2
1918
#22
66.52.8
62.965.6
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
49.11.5
50.451.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 29.2
100
#69
19.92.8
15.718.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
5710
#55
34.41.5
32.133.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 20.9
4842
#66
13.52.8
10.012.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0