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Red153
53321.0
287761.6
172056.1
Blue141
58722.6
518862.7
276129.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310050150200153141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.0
58.559.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.9
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5188
#15
62.71.6
60.261.7
Auto0.3
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Second
56.11.0
55.756.7
Auto1.0
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 26.6
2761
#38
29.51.6
27.128.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
533
#67
21.01.0
18.819.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 1.6
587
#35
22.61.6
22.123.7
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0