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Qual 1122015 Newton Division
Red234
418842.4
313077.7
467861.7
Blue196
19026.1
118109.2
167157.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16420550100250300350234196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#4
77.72.9
72.6→75.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
blue by 31.5
118
#1
109.20.5
114.0→113.5
Auto12.8
Teleop96.4
End0.0
Second
4678
#10
61.72.9
62.7→65.5
Auto10.0
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
1671
#25
57.70.5
61.0→60.5
Auto-1.0
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Third
4188
#18
42.42.9
41.6→44.4
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 16.3
190
#49
26.10.5
30.7→30.2
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0