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Red127
353951.2
552921.5
198380.7
Blue170
383832.5
191866.5
246870.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151162050100200250300350400127170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#12
80.71.6
83.181.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop81.2
End0.0
red by 10.4
2468
#13
70.30.2
68.668.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop70.5
End0.0
Second
3539
#43
51.21.6
52.150.6
Auto0.5
Teleop50.8
End0.0
blue by 15.2
1918
#22
66.50.2
65.665.8
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Third
5529
#42
21.51.6
23.021.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 11.0
3838
#30
32.50.2
32.332.5
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0